Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2006 - 2007 - 2008
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State Rank #4
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northtop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 7.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 95.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
Brianna Johnson 9 18:38
11  Chelsea Blanchard 12 18:48
48  Samantha Ginther 11 19:28
67  Samantha Simonson 12 19:49
89  Janelle Gordy 9 19:57
97  Rebecca Downs 11 20:00
Audrey Hess 12 20:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 3.4 144 7.5 15.7 26.7 37.5 8.4 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.1 49 92.3 7.7 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 29 99.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 19 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brianna Johnson 100% 6.6 1.7 7.6 9.3 9.9 8.8 8.1 7.5 6.6 6.0 4.9 4.1 3.8 3.0 2.7 2.4 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.5 100.0%
Chelsea Blanchard 100% 10.9 0.4 1.9 3.9 4.8 5.5 5.5 6.1 6.2 5.6 5.4 5.5 4.8 4.7 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.4 2.8 2.3 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.3 1.3 100.0%
Samantha Ginther 100% 44.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.2 74.2%
Samantha Simonson 100% 67.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 20.4%
Janelle Gordy 100% 77.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3%
Rebecca Downs 100% 82.7 0.0 0.0 5.3%
Audrey Hess 100% 96.9 0.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brianna Johnson 100% 1.4 38.0 30.6 16.9 7.6 3.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Chelsea Blanchard 100% 2.5 11.9 24.7 26.7 16.6 8.8 4.4 2.8 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Samantha Ginther 100% 11.4 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.6 5.1 5.9 6.6 7.2 7.9 8.4 7.5 7.2 6.8 5.8 4.8 4.1 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.0 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.6 99.8%
Samantha Simonson 100% 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.8 4.5 5.4 5.9 6.2 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.3 5.3 4.3 4.4 91.4%
Janelle Gordy 100% 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.7 3.4 3.8 3.6 4.5 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.9 5.0 77.9%
Rebecca Downs 100% 26.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.4 3.6 4.3 4.3 4.7 4.9 5.4 68.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brianna Johnson 100% 1.0 61.1 27.2 8.4 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Chelsea Blanchard 100% 1.6 21.1 45.3 21.8 7.0 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Samantha Ginther 100% 6.4 0.1 3.3 10.2 12.5 16.3 18.8 16.7 10.6 5.8 2.9 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Samantha Simonson 100% 10.2 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.7 5.8 9.6 13.1 14.6 13.7 10.7 8.5 6.3 4.4 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Janelle Gordy 100% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 4.0 7.5 9.8 11.8 12.1 11.5 10.2 8.0 6.5 5.0 3.4 2.8 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Rebecca Downs 100% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.3 4.5 7.4 9.8 11.2 11.8 10.4 9.6 8.0 7.0 5.1 4.2 2.5 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brianna Johnson 1.0 73.0 26.4 0.6 0.0
Chelsea Blanchard 1.3 26.5 70.6 2.7 0.2
Samantha Ginther 3.1 0.0 0.2 46.1 31.4 15.1 4.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Samantha Simonson 5.5 0.0 2.7 13.6 21.4 23.0 16.6 9.9 6.2 3.6 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1
Janelle Gordy 7.0 0.5 4.3 10.5 16.9 18.4 17.0 13.1 8.7 5.4 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Rebecca Downs 7.7 0.4 2.5 7.0 11.3 16.5 17.8 16.0 11.7 7.9 4.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0